PUBLIC VOCABULARY

Glossary

Definitions used across intelligence literacy, evidence, oversight, influence, identity, mental health, personas, and game mechanics. A definition explains site usage; it does not replace jurisdiction-specific law or individual clinical assessment.

REAL-WORLD INTERPRETIVE Editorial synthesis or explanation derived from sources and explicitly open to correction.

Confidence: Moderate
Sources: 22
Review: Editorial review

6 terms shown.

REAL-WORLD INTERPRETIVE

World Event Literacy

Approximate annual probability

A source-authored percentage expressing an analytical judgment for one year, not an independently calibrated forecast.

REAL-WORLD INTERPRETIVE

World Event Literacy

Fictional planning scenario

A declared what-if case used to examine assumptions and consequences; it is neither historical evidence nor a forecast.

REAL-WORLD INTERPRETIVE

World Event Literacy

Fictional what-if

A declared counterfactual exercise that changes one condition for education and is not a forecast or account of what happened.

REAL-WORLD INTERPRETIVE

Simulation Literacy

forecast

A time-stamped estimate of a future target with a defined horizon, probability or interval, model version, and evaluation rule.

REAL-WORLD INTERPRETIVE

Simulation Literacy

scenario

A conditional exploration of what may follow if stated assumptions hold. A scenario is not automatically a forecast or an observed event.

REAL-WORLD INTERPRETIVE

Evidence and Verification

Source-authored projection

A forward estimate supplied by a source and preserved as evidence of that estimate; it is not the site forecast or proof that the projected outcome will occur.