PUBLIC VOCABULARY

Glossary

Definitions used across intelligence literacy, evidence, oversight, influence, identity, mental health, personas, and game mechanics. A definition explains site usage; it does not replace jurisdiction-specific law or individual clinical assessment.

REAL-WORLD INTERPRETIVE Editorial synthesis or explanation derived from sources and explicitly open to correction.

Confidence: Moderate
Sources: 22
Review: Editorial review

7 terms shown.

REAL-WORLD INTERPRETIVE

World Event Literacy

Approximate annual probability

A source-authored percentage expressing an analytical judgment for one year, not an independently calibrated forecast.

REAL-WORLD INTERPRETIVE

World Event Literacy

Baseline source

A source used to frame a broad domain condition; it does not by itself verify a specific fictional premise, probability, indicator, or consequence.

REAL-WORLD INTERPRETIVE

Simulation Literacy

forecast

A time-stamped estimate of a future target with a defined horizon, probability or interval, model version, and evaluation rule.

REAL-WORLD INTERPRETIVE

Information Integrity and Networked-Movement Evidence

likelihood language

Words describing the probability of an event or proposition, which should not be fused with evidentiary confidence.

REAL-WORLD INTERPRETIVE

World Event Literacy

Non-additive probability

A probability that must not be summed with overlapping scenario probabilities because the cases share causes, conditions, or alternative manifestations.

REAL-WORLD INTERPRETIVE

World Event Literacy

Probability band

A categorical range applied to a source-authored annual estimate, such as Remote, Low, Moderate, Elevated, or High.

REAL-WORLD INTERPRETIVE

World Event Literacy

Probability-weighted consequence score

The workbook comparison value probability ÷ 100 × consequence magnitude × 20; it is not an expected harm or universal risk score.